From: The impact of extreme weather on student online learning participation
Time period | Posterior inference | All LMS activity | System | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | Cumulative | Actual | Cumulative | ||
NB-WC | Actual | 0.17 | 9.61 | 0.097 | 5.621 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.21 (0.018) | 11.98 (1.063) | 0.13 (0.018) | 7.63 (1.044) | |
95% CI | [0.17, 0.24] | [9.97, 14.10] | [0.096, 0.17] | [5.554, 9.60] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.041 (0.018) | − 2.372 (1.063) | − 0.035 (0.018) | − 2.013 (1.044) | |
95% CI | [− 0.08, − 0.006] | [− 4.49, − 0.36] | [− 0.069, 0.0012] | [− 3.981, 0.0676] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 20% (8.9%) | − 20% (8.9%) | − 26% (14%) | − 26% (14%) | |
95% CI | [− 37%, − 3%] | [− 37%, − 3%] | [− 52%, 0.88%] | [− 52%, 0.88%] | |
NB-NC | Actual | 0.18 | 7.41 | 0.11 | 4.43 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.23 (0.018) | 9.25 (0.743) | 0.15 (0.017) | 6.30 (0.710) | |
95% CI | [0.19, 0.26] | [7.83, 10.77] | [0.12, 0.19] | [4.96, 7.71] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.045 (0.018) | − 1.843 (0.743) | − 0.046 (0.017) | − 1.872 (0.710) | |
95% CI | [− 0.082, − 0.01] | [− 3.360, − 0.43] | [− 0.08, − 0.013] | [− 3.28, − 0.527] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 20% (8%) | − 20% (8%) | − 30% (11%) | − 30% (11%) | |
95% CI | [− 36%, − 4.6%] | [− 36%, − 4.6%] | [− 52%, − 8.4%] | [− 52%, − 8.4%] | |
WB-WC | Actual | 0.18 | 9.07 | 0.1 | 5.2 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.21 (0.018) | 10.67 (0.904) | 0.14 (0.02) | 6.97 (0.98) | |
95% CI | [0.18, 0.25] | [8.79, 12.39] | [0.098, 0.18] | [4.911, 8.86] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.03 (0.018) | − 1.59 (0.904) | − 0.035 (0.02) | − 1.740 (0.98) | |
95% CI | [− 0.066, 0.006] | [− 3.317, 0.287] | [− 0.073, 0.0065] | [− 3.631, 0.3233] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 15% (8.5%) | − 15% (8.5%) | − 25% (14%) | − 25% (14%) | |
95% CI | [− 31%, 2.7%] | [− 31%, 2.7%] | [− 52%, 4.6%] | [− 52%, 4.6%] | |
WB-NC | Actual | 0.21 | 6.87 | 0.12 | 4.04 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.24 (0.018) | 7.94 (0.592) | 0.17 (0.02) | 5.57 (0.65) | |
95% CI | [0.21, 0.28] | [6.83, 9.13] | [0.13, 0.2] | [4.28, 6.7] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.03 (0.018) | − 1.07 (0.592) | − 0.046 (0.02) | − 1.525 (0.65) | |
95% CI | [− 0.068, 0.0013] | [− 2.256, 0.0418] | [− 0.081, − 0.0072] | [− 2.659, − 0.2391] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 13% (7.5%) | − 13% (7.5%) | − 27% (12%) | − 27% (12%) | |
95% CI | [− 28%, 0.53%] | [− 28%, 0.53%] | [− 48%, − 4.3%] | [− 48%, − 4.3%] |