From: The impact of extreme weather on student online learning participation
Time period | Posterior inference | Assignment | Quiz | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | Cumulative | Actual | Cumulative | ||
NB-WC | Actual | 0.34 | 19.47 | 0.16 | 9.14 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.38 (0.039) | 21.86 (2.242) | 0.17 (0.022) | 9.76 (1.253) | |
95% CI | [0.3, 0.45] | [17.2, 26.13] | [0.12, 0.21] | [7.25, 12.10] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.041 (0.039) | − 2.383 (2.242) | − 0.011 (0.022) | − 0.621 (1.253) | |
95% CI | [− 0.11, 0.039] | [− 6.66, 2.234] | [− 0.051, 0.033] | [− 2.965, 1.891] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 11% (10%) | − 11% (10%) | − 6.4% (13%) | − 6.4% (13%) | |
95% CI | [− 30%, 10%] | [− 30%, 10%] | [− 30%, 19%] | [− 30%, 19%] | |
NB-NC | Actual | 0.31 | 12.78 | 0.18 | 7.38 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.38 (0.038) | 15.53 (1.572) | 0.17 (0.024) | 7.14 (0.968) | |
95% CI | [0.3, 0.45] | [12.4, 18.56] | [0.13, 0.22] | [5.17, 8.94] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.067 (0.038) | − 2.749 (1.572) | 0.0059 (0.024) | 0.2425 (0.968) | |
95% CI | [− 0.14, 0.0083] | [− 5.78, 0.3402] | [− 0.038, 0.054] | [− 1.561, 2.212] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 18% (10%) | − 18% (10%) | 3.4% (14%) | 3.4% (14%) | |
95% CI | [− 37%, 2.2%] | [− 37%, 2.2%] | [− 22%, 31%] | [− 22%, 31%] | |
WB-WC | Actual | 0.36 | 18.19 | 0.18 | 8.98 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.38 (0.04) | 18.94 (2.01) | 0.18 (0.024) | 8.81 (1.178) | |
95% CI | [0.3, 0.46] | [15.0, 22.78] | [0.13, 0.22] | [6.41, 10.91] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.015 (0.04) | − 0.754 (2.01) | 0.0034 (0.024) | 0.1689 (1.178) | |
95% CI | [− 0.092, 0.064] | [− 4.592, 3.204] | [− 0.039, 0.051] | [− 1.931, 2.570] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 4% (11%) | − 4% (11%) | 1.9% (13%) | 1.9% (13%) | |
95% CI | [− 24%, 17%] | [− 24%, 17%] | [− 22%, 29%] | [− 22%, 29%] | |
WB-NC | Actual | 0.35 | 11.50 | 0.22 | 7.22 |
Prediction (SD) | 0.38 (0.04) | 12.62 (1.32) | 0.19 (0.027) | 6.19 (0.904) | |
95% CI | [0.3, 0.46] | [10.0, 15.28] | [0.13, 0.24] | [4.43, 7.90] | |
Absolute effect (SD) | − 0.03 (0.04) | − 1.12 (1.32) | 0.031 (0.027) | 1.032 (0.904) | |
95% CI | [− 0.11, 0.044] | [− 3.78, 1.461] | [− 0.021, 0.085] | [− 0.677, 2.789] | |
Relative effect (SD) | − 8.9% (10%) | − 8.9% (10%) | 17% (15%) | 17% (15%) | |
95% CI | [− 30%, 12%] | [− 30%, 12%] | [− 11%, 45%] | [− 11%, 45%] |